Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 8.006370 9.282492 10.656406 12.240836 14.012704 15.928199 18.150493
2025-12-14 6.265780 7.971655 9.944672 12.376828 15.274595 18.596325 22.670454
2025-12-21 5.162696 7.062819 9.385011 12.394126 16.149024 20.636963 26.359301
2025-12-28 4.517484 6.569075 9.193698 12.735525 17.321117 22.984205 30.424205
2026-01-04 3.981563 6.120906 8.972898 12.962243 18.295691 25.069893 34.198114
2026-01-11 3.491295 5.659234 8.663750 13.008711 18.990454 26.782931 37.523425
2026-01-18 2.964298 5.072008 8.109847 12.650838 19.084801 27.674533 39.773389
2026-01-25 2.548011 4.593164 7.653194 12.371869 19.238220 28.613691 42.081814
2026-02-01 2.187135 4.152584 7.203650 12.052608 19.291017 29.387354 44.161648
2026-02-08 1.886247 3.769572 6.800244 11.758837 19.342976 30.136045 46.205042
2026-02-15 1.613841 3.398430 6.376523 11.392263 19.249582 30.652448 47.915358
2026-02-22 1.463230 3.222704 6.250919 11.476396 19.826319 32.140612 51.039284
2026-03-01 1.318376 3.041854 6.103562 11.518496 20.345271 33.573132 54.149686
2026-03-08 1.203158 2.902666 6.014047 11.645567 20.997166 35.220481 57.621262
2026-03-15 1.084715 2.740777 5.867770 11.661970 21.464783 36.596290 60.722177
2026-03-22 1.020640 2.682211 5.902305 11.986840 22.440611 38.773729 65.078073
2026-03-29 0.948497 2.596674 5.877736 12.202627 23.240406 40.698006 69.097724
2026-04-05 0.863288 2.470392 5.763186 12.246859 23.749441 42.176399 72.469010
2026-04-12 0.746421 2.253762 5.450747 11.906246 23.582486 42.569025 74.163795
2026-04-19 0.650992 2.072414 5.190405 11.640792 23.524869 43.124353 76.114810
2026-04-26 0.563552 1.895821 4.921441 11.337066 23.378967 43.521775 77.815796
2026-05-03 0.488570 1.737929 4.675390 11.057654 23.256835 43.945133 79.558218
2026-05-10 0.417666 1.577268 4.405584 10.709089 22.986701 44.104188 80.867914